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Methodology

How AlienAlgo forms its reads and setups — in plain terms. This overview explains the approach without implying certainty. Every output is analysis, not a guarantee.

Macro Bias

The macro-bias board produces one directional read per pair — bullish, bearish or neutral — with a score. The board, watchlist and chart use that same pair-level read.

Inputs

  • Fundamentals & currency strength for each side of the pair (which currency is relatively stronger).
  • Economic conditions and recent macro events for those currencies.
  • Correlated instruments — e.g. the dollar index for USD pairs, related indices/commodities — as a tie-breaker.
  • Technical context from price structure.

How it scores

Each leg is scored, the two legs are combined into a net directional score, and a hysteresis band avoids flip-flopping around neutral. If both legs are balanced and no clear break is active, the read is neutral (stand aside) rather than forced. When a pair's own read is balanced, the broad-dollar direction can break the tie for USD pairs.

This is a conceptual description: the page does not publish the scoring formula, input weights or numeric thresholds. Do not infer a precise score or trade probability from this summary.

Limitation: macro bias is a directional lean, not a trade trigger. A bullish bias does not mean "buy now" — it is context for the setups below.

Signals & A/B/C Setups

Setups are built from previous day / week / month levels and two complementary behaviours around them:

  • Reclaim / reject — price taps a prior level and confirms a rejection or reclaim on closed bars.
  • Breakout / retest — once price closes decisively beyond a level, it is treated as a breakout, and the setup looks for a retest of that level for entry rather than a reclaim.

What a signal defines

  • Direction and timeframe, and the market context it formed in.
  • Entry, a structure-based stop-loss, and a take-profit ladder (TP1 at 1:1, further targets at structure) with break-even logic.
  • An invalidation level and expiry — a setup can be invalidated or age out.

A/B/C are the platform's setup labels; this public overview does not define their grading criteria or imply that a grade is a probability of success. No numeric trigger thresholds are published here. Confirmation is described at a high level, not as a complete reproducible rule set.

Confirmation happens on closed bars, and a level that has become a breakout can no longer be used as a reclaim/reject. Signals are analytical outputs, not guaranteed outcomes.

Volume-based reads

Separately from the level-based setups, the AI can commit to an instant / market read from live volume and order-flow — volume versus its average, buy/sell delta and pressure, body size and where price closes in the bar — across multiple timeframes, and states which timeframe it used. This is labelled as a volume read, distinct from a confirmed signal.

News & the News Filter

Before a scheduled release, the directional read compares the forecast with the previous value and considers how that indicator may affect the currency. After the release, the actual result matters too; a surprise can change the read. The platform tracks its pre-release calls over time. These are interpretations, not reliable predictions of the market's reaction.

When enabled in Auto Trading settings, the news filter holds new automatic signal entries around high-impact events for currencies relevant to the pair. The default window is 30 minutes before and after an event; the before/after windows are configurable. It does not close existing positions or guarantee protection from event volatility.

Limitation: events can be revised, forecasts can be wrong, and markets may react differently than the directional read suggests.

Risk Management

Position sizing supports fixed-lot or percentage-of-account risk. Given your account balance, a chosen risk percentage and the stop distance, the position size is derived so the planned loss at the stop equals your risk amount.

Example: on a £10,000 account risking 1%, the planned risk is £100; the lot size is set so that hitting the stop loses about £100. Targets are laddered from the entry, with TP1 at 1:1 risk-reward.

Actual results can differ from the plan because of spread, slippage, gaps and broker execution. Risk settings limit intended risk, not guaranteed risk.

This page describes methodology at a conceptual level and may evolve as the platform is refined. Nothing here is financial advice. Trading FX, CFDs and crypto carries a high risk of loss; only trade capital you can afford to lose.